Will Tesla deliver more than 1,000 new Cyber Trucks by the end of Q4, 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
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NO

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Resolves NO

Proof In Comments.

edit: info was out of date

SF tonight

I approximate they will deliver 100-300 Cybertrucks to customers by the end of December.

My research shows me that they started building production vehicles as of this week (Oct 30th). Even with an increase in speed in their low-production line they will not be able to manufacture and deliver 1000 vehicles in the next 2 months. Volume production does not start until 2024.

Although they may be able to produce 1000 by the end of they year if they are really pushing the schedule, only 2/3rds of those will be able to delivered to customers (the first 300 were beta vehicles.)

Past deliveries at new product launch events:

- Model S - 25 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLio4A13Ric

- Model X - 6 - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2015/09/20140930-modelx.html

- Model 3 - 30 - https://electrek.co/2017/07/17/teslat-model-3-delivery-event-invites-owners/


You can read more about my production estimates here: https://manifold.markets/Yves/will-tesla-produce-more-than-1500-c?r=WXZlcw#zd0dfeXGqJVrz85BhDDY

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