![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FBX6bM48g9P.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dede9dacd-fabd-4a35-8db6-9ec93afcd5ad&w=3840&q=75)
Will Donald Trump appear to have failed to secure sufficient electoral college votes to win the next election and subsequently mount a stage and use a public address system to address a crowd of at least 100 people within 1km of the National Mall in Washington DC on the same day that the Electoral College votes are counted and ratified by Congress (expected to be January 6 2025) ? Betting closes on January 5th 2025 (or sooner if ratification is moved forward)
Related questions
@ClubmasterTransparent that's why it's so specific. What scenario do you forsee that would cause an argument?
@GordanKnott The question is phrased to stipulate [Trump loses] AND [Trump holds rally] so a failure of either condition should resolve to NO.
If the question was instead "Conditional on Trump losing, will he..." then it would be fair to resolve to N/A if he won.