Twitch has indicated they will attempt to pay withheld earnings to Russian streamers once sanctions are lifted. This market resolves YES if Twitch begins processing payments of withheld earnings to Russian streamers before June 2025, NO otherwise.
Resolution criteria: Verified news reports from major gaming/tech outlets (IGN, GameIndustry.biz, etc.) confirming Twitch has started processing previously withheld payments to Russian streamers.
Sources: https://www.gamesindustry.biz/sanctions-prevent-twitch-from-paying-russian-streamers https://www.ign.com/articles/twitch-streamers-in-russia-hit-by-economic-sanctions
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@Ziddletwix Hmm, no, I just can't find anything that says they've restarted payments, and I assume it would have been reported somewhere if they did
@Ziddletwix Claude agrees: https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/80efb609-3bb7-40c3-ba52-0695912ed9b8
Primarily on the basis of no evidence that anything changed. It's a little circular (also using this market's price as evidence), but overall I'm inclined to like this writeup. I think we should resolve No.
Full chat:
Can you help with resolving a Manifold market? https://manifold.markets/Gk0sll/will-twitch-pay-the-withheld-earnin#2p4sj3yqbmn
What sources are there as to whether Twitch resumed payments (by the date in question)? Are the sanctions still in effect?
How would you recommend resolving this market?
I'll help you research this Manifold market about Twitch payments. Let me dig into the details about whether Twitch resumed payments to Russian streamers by the deadline mentioned in the market.