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MANIFOLD
Manifold Approval Rating [MC Market Index]
1
Ṁ1kṀ44
3333
50.3 %
expected
16%
0% — Extremely Unhappy — Very dissatisfied overall
16%
20% — Unhappy — Significant frustrations with bugs or moderation
17%
40% — Somewhat Unhappy — Frequent minor bugs or inconsistent moderation
17%
60% — Satisfied — Generally good experience with occasional minor issues
17%
80% — Very Happy — Great platform, responsive moderation, few issues
16%
100% — Extremely Happy — Excellent overall experience

Numeric MC version of: /strutheo/manifold-leadership-approval-rating

…to get a finer probability distribution of approval ratings rather than a single aggregated number.

  • Designed to remain permanently open.

  • If the market is ever forced to resolve (for example if the numeric market does not behave as intended), it should resolve N/A.

  • Buy and sell shares across buckets to represent your personal rating (or try to predict the community's distribution of sentiment) regarding the platform, moderation and leadership.

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