Will Trump receive at least 60 million votes?
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resolved Nov 15
Resolved
YES

Will resolve YES/NO

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@mods this resolves YES by Dave Leip's popular vote tracker, among other sources https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php

@creator resolves YES

s

How does this resolve if Trump does not become the Republican nominee?

There is still absolutely zero chance of this happening

predicted YES

@BTE absolutely zero chance of Trump receiving 81% of the votes that he got in 2020?

predicted NO

@SemioticRivalry As the incumbent before January 6 and the many trials that are forthcoming. As you know I don’t even think he makes it to the general election so that is also a major factor for me. But even if he does, he is no longer a candidate that can attract moderates or conservative democrats. He is embracing a national ban on abortion. He has nothing to offer except drama and retribution.

predicted YES

@BTE I just don't see how you can get to basically zero for something that has happened already twice for Trump- and both times he was already quite controversial, and there is little evidence that he is substantially more controversial now. And also for Romney, McCain, and Bush, with much lower populations.

@BTE lol

There aren't 60 million people who even like Trump in the US. Don't get me wrong, he is still the hero of 40-45 million, but that is his ceiling. There is absolutely nothing he could do short of stepping in front of a bus that would earn back the favor of enough of the haters to have a chance at 60 million.

@BTE @Gigacasting odds are increasingly likely he gets zero votes.

Last major candidates below this were John McCain (may he rest in…war) and the very forgettable John Kerry (supposedly the smarter candidate but actually got a lower SAT than W 🤔
@Gigacasting But most candidates who don't run, or don't run as the Dem/Rep candidate, are well below this benchmark.
@Gigacasting John Kerry was the worst candidate in history. He actually had worse grades at Yale than W too.
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