Will there be more YES positions than NO positions?
72
61
1.4K
resolved Apr 11
Resolved
YES

At close.

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bought Ṁ2 of YES

YES v. NO
Which way will it go?
I predict a landslide win
For the YESes to begin.

sold Ṁ23 of YES
predicted NO

@Gigacasting Since you’ve now posted, it sounds like you’ve seen my comment below and chosen to ignore it. Is that confirmation that this is not about “the market”?

bought Ṁ10 of NO

On the assumption that this is indeed a self-resolving market. I would like to encourage YES holders to cash in their YES shares at a profit and switch from YES to NO. Perhaps you will make a profit twice! or even three times! As the market goes back and forth. Even just a couple people switching can cause uncertainty in the market

sold Ṁ107 of YES

@DylanSlagh I like this plan

predicted NO

@Stralor seems like other people didn't lol

predicted NO

This is in “the market” group, which led me to believe it was about “the market”. A whale can’t change that at the last minute. However, I now see that the closing date is way in the future, which doesn’t make a lot of sense of this is about “the market”. While the description itself says nothing about “the market”,

@Gigacasting

is quite fond of terse resolution criteria, which led me to believe that adding it to the group was their way of stating this.

However, I’m now realizing that maybe someone else added it to that group by mistake, and this market is actually self-resolving. It would be great if Gigacasting could clarify here.

predicted NO

@JimHays I’d also love a clarification! I can remove it from the group if needed.

predicted NO

@Conflux Seems like @Gigacasting is not planning to weigh in, and in the meantime there’s been a pile-on of traders reading it the other way. I’m guessing at this point all three of these markets should probably be removed from the group?

predicted YES

@JimHays I have no idea anymore 😂

predicted NO

@JimHays I’ll remove the tag - after all, traders think there’s a >78% chance it’s not about The Market. Gigacasting can do whatever they want, I think it’s kinda lame to be vague.