Will SBF plead guilty before July 1? | Manifold Markets

Jul 1

19

Will SBF plead guilty before July 1?

27%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

FTX Insolvency Crisis

Sort by:

Adambought Ṁ25 of YES

hedging a bit of my NO on "will he plead guilty at all"

Odoacre bought Ṁ10 NO at 27%

Leonardo Taglialegne (min bought Ṁ10 NO from 28% to 27%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 NO at 28% (cancelled)

Jason bought Ṁ30 YES from 23% to 29%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 NO at 23% (cancelled)

Jason bought Ṁ20 YES from 20% to 24%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 20% (cancelled)

mvdm bought Ṁ100 NO from 24% to 19%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 NO at 24% (cancelled)

Jason bought Ṁ20 YES from 21% to 25%

Gigacasting sold Ṁ111 NO from 16% to 21%

Nostradamnedus bought Ṁ10 NO from 17% to 16%

mvdm bought Ṁ20 NO at 17%

mvdm bought Ṁ20 NO from 18% to 17%

mvdm bought Ṁ30 NO from 20% to 18%

Eugen Grue bought Ṁ10 NO at 20%

Letian Wang bought Ṁ10 YES from 18% to 20%

Nico D sold Ṁ20 NO from 17% to 18%

jcb sold Ṁ2 YES from 18% to 17%

damin17 bought Ṁ50 NO from 21% to 18%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 22% (cancelled)

Nico D sold Ṁ8 YES from 23% to 21%

Nico D sold Ṁ6 YES from 25% to 23%

Gigacasting created limit order for Ṁ30 NO at 40%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ75 NO from 32% to 25%

jcb bought Ṁ5 YES from 31% to 32%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 NO at 31% (cancelled)

Letian Wang bought Ṁ10 YES from 30% to 33%

Letian Wang bought Ṁ10 YES from 27% to 30%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 27%

Gigacasting bought Ṁ65 NO from 32% to 24%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 32% (cancelled)

Jonathan Ray bought Ṁ30 NO from 35% to 31%

Adam bought Ṁ10 YES from 32% to 35%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 32% (cancelled)

Adam bought Ṁ25 YES from 24% to 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 NO at 24% (cancelled)

firstuserhere sold Ṁ40 NO from 22% to 27%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ40 NO from 27% to 22%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 27% (cancelled)

Jonathan Ray bought Ṁ60 NO from 36% to 25%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 36% (cancelled)

Fish Physicist bought Ṁ10 YES from 33% to 38%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ0/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled)

Gigacasting bought Ṁ30 NO from 41% to 33%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 41%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 36% (cancelled)

Nico D sold Ṁ34 NO from 30% to 38%