Will GPT-4 be the most searched model of 2023?
62
closes 2024
16%
chance
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NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Youngbought Ṁ140 of NO

It’ll be very powerful when it’s released, but there may never be a model by that name and an equivalently powerful image or video model seems more likely to become a Thing.

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingis predicting YES at 31%

Highest peak in ‘23

jonsimon avatar
Jon Simon

Meaning more than any other model in the year 2023? Or also more than models from this year?

Related markets

Is GPT-4 best? (2023)74%
Will a large GPT-4 equivalent competitor model be revealed by the end of 2023?52%
Will there be more searches for GPT-4 than for ChatGPT on any day before July 2023?2%
Will GPT-4 be public during 2023?88%
Will a GPT4-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware before 2024?29%
Will GPT-4 exceed chatGPT interest? (2023)6%
Will GPT-4's parameter count be announced by the end of 2023?5%
Will GPT-4 be Time Person of the Year in 2023?7%
(M20000 subsidy!) Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)44%
Is GPT-4 best? (Thru 2025)26%
Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?78%
Will GPT-4's parameter count be known by end of 2024?41%
Will GPT 4.5 be announced by October? (2023)32%
Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $1,000 by 2030?74%
Will GPT-4's max context window increase by the end of 2023?60%
Will I be able to use base GPT-4 at any time in 2023?28%
Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?82%
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?44%
Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?81%
Will GPT-5 be announced before 20244%