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Will Anthropic leave AWS in 2026?

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3% chance

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77% chance

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25%? Is there any indicator of that happening?

Nope. Jassy was the ceo of AWS, he wouldn't let his child go away

I take this to mean AWS is a separate company, which would look like when you look at Amazon financial statements after this spin off, there is no mention of costs/revenue/assets associated with AWS. It might mean AWS is a public company (most likely?) but it could also be private.

what exactly is "spinning off"?

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Will Anthropic leave AWS in 2026?

6% chance

Will Amazon divest from Anthropic in 2026?

3% chance

Will AWS have an operating margin >= 30% for 2028?

77% chance

Will Amazon still own Twitch at the end of 2028?

86% chance

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

39% chance

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