OpenAI Stock
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14
Ṁ15122030
63%
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Resolves NO if they're largely irrelevant
Resolves YES if they are market leader or duopoly (eg with Deepmind, as it once seemed)
Resolution in 2025-2030 timeframe.
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(broken manifold too..:)
back to 19th century link technology—
Thesis: they’ll be first to everything but never ship good products, have zero moat, and are all mind-virus infected
(Also a certain executive has consistently midwit twitter takes)
DeepMind ships 10x the volume, Stability leverages open-source, and the labs have actual commercial people around vs. needing a thousand people to release one model per year
Will they even be talked about by 2028?
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