How long will Amy Wax remain at a top law school?
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100Ṁ2942030
2026
expected
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Levels of anti-Straussianism that make Steve Sailer look like Tyler Cowen
“Top” = top-14 within three months of any departure if one occurs
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Some context: https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2022/07/19/penn-going-punish-amy-wax
My sense is that universities have gotten reasonably adept at convincing people to leave without firing them. I still think the probability of her being forced out in the next 2 years is <50%, but she's nearing inevitable academic retirement anyway, so it's not like the tail on that site is very long. Small bets only, for me.