Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?
Plus
21
Ṁ1844Dec 31
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the German government declares a state of emergency ("Notlage") to circumvent the debt brake for the 2024 budget. This includes any supplementary budget for the year 2024.
Resolves NO in all other cases.
This is NOT about next year’s budget (2025) that will probably passed before in November or December of this year.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the German parliament reform the Schuldenbremse before the next election?
46% chance
In 2024, will the German parliament create an off-budget fund (Sondervermögen) to support the German economy?
5% chance
Will Germany freeze AfD funding in 2024?
3% chance
Will Germany take on new debt in any way, shape, or form in order to create the 2025 budget?
71% chance
Will Germany's GDP grow in 2024?
55% chance
Government coalition following the 2024 Thuringian state election?
Will the government of Pakistan declare a state of emergency in 2024?
44% chance
Will the current federal government of Germany consist until the next regular elections in fall 2025?
2% chance
Will Germany have general elections before december 2024?
2% chance
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2024?
69% chance