Will Avraham Eisenberg successfully conduct "a profitable trade" against Aave?

Crypto•Honest Abe•New Year's Resolutions 2024

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resolved Jan 2

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Will Avi successfully pull off an Aave 'exploit'? (Will he end net positive in the immediate aftermath (ie. not counting court battles years down the line) )

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Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm

Get Ṁ200 play money

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#	Name	Total profit
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3		Ṁ42
4		Ṁ41
5		Ṁ15

9 Comments

17 Holders

92 Trades

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predicted NO

does lending money on aave and earning interest count

predicted NO

@AviEisenberg lending money is an arbitrage

predicted NO

Welcome to Manifold! @AviEisenberg

predicted NO

@GeorgeVii there was a straight and massive arb between attempt and success, implying a 500% conditional probability of success if attempted

predicted NO

Only an arb if you take both sides, surely

predicted NO

@GeorgeVii But yeah, looks like a new trader dumped all their cash into NO on only one of the markets. Bots aren't good enough to catch this stuff yet.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

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Will Avraham Eisenburg successfully conduct "a profitable trade" against Aave?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition