Will >1000 USD be donated through Manifold for Good before June?
17
3
192
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
YES
Decided to make another. The >2000 USD market is here: https://manifold.markets/GeorgeVii/will-2000-usd-be-donated-through-ma May 19, 7:17pm: Resolution using the number at the top of this page: https://manifold.markets/charity
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bought Ṁ50 of NO
Not enough hedging going on here.
bought Ṁ10 of NO
This market seems crazy overconfident...
predicted YES
@StephenMalina I'm confident that there's insider trading going on here.
predicted NO
@jack aha, do you think the charity page isn't being updated?
No, I just think that someone (or multiple someones) are planning to make large donations but haven't done so yet, and they and/or people they've talked to are buying YES accordingly.