ETH trades greater than 0.05 BTC at the end of the year?
60%
chance
Jan 1, 2023
M$63 bet
In Scott Alexander's predictions for 2022 he gives a 90% probability to this outcome. (On 31st Jan when the list of predictions was published ETH sat at roughly ~0.069BTC) https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest As of market creation ETH trades at ~0.052BTC
GeorgeVii
George Vii bought M$1 of NO
@SamMarks I see, ah well. Ppl can arb it
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