The 14th Amendment bans insurrectionists from seeking office, and the question of whether Trump can even be on the ballot is likely headed to the high court. What will they rule? This question resolves to YES if a majority of the court rules that Trump is eligible to be on all states' ballots either constitutionally or any decision that results in Trump being allowed to appear on all ballots for the Presidential contest. Resolves NO if the court rules that Trump is ineligible due to his insurrection activities, lack of standing, or any decision that results in Trump not appearing on all ballots for the Presidential contest. Resolves N/A if this doesn't get addressed (no petition for writ of certiorari) by the US Supreme Court before Presidential Election Day, November 5, 2024.
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@KevinBurke This would resolve NO because the SCOTUS would be addressing the case, but by not ruling (lower court opinion stands), Trump would be ineligible on some ballots.
@GeoffWolfe Added petition for writ of certiorari is required for this to resolve to YES or NO, otherwise N/A.