Will Mr Girl's manifesto on Destiny be more than 50,000 words?
18
50
370
resolved Mar 26
Resolved
YES

Market resolves to the exact # of words reported as the official word count. If no word count is provided, I will copy the entire title & body text into a word counter and use that number.

I will not count words from images/figures which are not copyable and easily countable as text if I am counting the words myself.

Only counts the first released document/article, not the second one he is brewing up.

Numeric market for reference:

Mar 21, 4:14pm: Will Mr Girl's Manifesto/article on Destiny be >50,000 words? → Will Mr Girl's manifesto on Destiny be more than 50,000 words?

Get Ṁ200 play money

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Sorry guys I’ll resolve this when I’m sober

bought Ṁ55 of NO

Ok guys I’m fucked up rn all my markets about the manifesto will close when I sober up. Love you all good luck

sold Ṁ316 of NO

@Gen I’ll resolve this when I’m

Sober, sorry guys. Might be 6-7 hours or more

A leaked page of the manifesto can be seen here:

bought Ṁ30 of YES

Numeric version of this market:

predicted YES
predicted YES

ok nobody buying yet - to get the ball rolling, I am now a NO buyer only

bought Ṁ50 of NO

@Gen This was just a ruse, I was a NO buyer all along. You guys really think Max is releasing this thing >50,000 words??? Only 3 weeks ago he said he was going to cut it down to 3,000-4,000 (LMAO)

predicted YES

@Gen Nice try. He may say that he is going to cut it down, but I can tell he doesn't really mean that.

predicted NO

@Rasmus1 Yeah I have absolutely no belief that he will actually reduce the wordcount. This is more of a hedge to my >30k position in this market:

I have to believe that if he does actually review it, it'll be because Max did some incredible work in getting the wordcount down way below 50k.