Elections are early! Will Lasso cling to power?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Ecuadorian_general_election

I will resolve this market after the results of the 2023 elections, once everything has stabalised (this is under the assumption he will never run again in the future). It will probably be two or so weeks after the election results, or after he concedes. If there is a lot of foul play etc. I will make the decision based on who is actually President after a "settlement" period.

This is why its "or reinstated", as if he becomes President again through illegitimate or arguable means, it will still resolve YES.

Examples:

Lasso is re-elected in the first cycle, nobody disputes it, 2 weeks later: YES

Lasso loses, claims foul play (à la Trump), wait until settled: NO

Lasso loses, claims foul play, successful autogolpe: YES

Lasso wins, engages the military, kills everyone: YES

Ask for more if necessary. Basically just betting on who will be the president in 2 months from now, but may be extended due to extreme instability or ongoing elections/disputes.