Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "YES" if Paulo Kogos is officially declared elected as a deputado estadual (State Deputy) for the state of São Paulo, Brazil, by the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral - TSE) in the next general election. It resolves to "NO" if he is not elected.

The official results provided by the TSE at https://resultados.tse.jus.br/ will serve as the sole source of truth for the resolution of this market.

Background

Paulo Kogos is a Brazilian political activist, commentator, and entrepreneur known for his vocal advocacy of libertarian and Austrian School economic views. He has previously run for public office in São Paulo. State Deputies are elected via a proportional representation system, and candidates are affiliated with political parties that must meet specific electoral thresholds to secure seats.

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