This market resolves based on whether the front cover design of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares (US Edition) is substantially different on release day (16 September 2025) compared to the version currently shown below.

Small additions like a “New York Times Bestseller” label or review blurbs do not count as substantial changes. The design must be meaningfully altered—e.g. new artwork, different typography, layout, or title formatting.

Only the first edition published on release day counts. Later reprints or updated editions are not considered.

Resolution will be based on the cover shown on the publisher’s official site or a major bookseller (e.g. Amazon) on 16 September 2025.

I will not bet in this market.

• Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution will be based on the US bookcover.