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MANIFOLD
Will I win the main prize in this (second) prize drawing?
9
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k
resolved May 2
Resolved
NO

I have bought close to 300'000 entries to the second prize drawing. This market resolves YES if I win the main (9'000 USDC) prize.

If I win it (or any other prize), I would want Manifold to donate my prize money directly to GiveDirectly (and show proof of payment because it's 9000$).

  • Update 2026-04-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the prize drawing is cancelled:

    • If the creator is refunded: resolves N/A

    • If the creator is not refunded or only partially refunded: resolves NO

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If for any reason, the prize drawing is cancelled:

If I get refunded, this market resolves NA

If I don't/partially get refunded, this market resolves NO.

GL

@Bayesian Well I'm going to need it, with all the entries you bought😂😂, GL!

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@Gen, just to check: is the charity part ok for you?