Manifold plays hangman! #2 [500M prize]
62
650Ṁ10k
resolved May 30
Resolved
YES
E
Resolved
YES
R
Resolved
NO
D
Resolved
NO
A
Resolved
NO
B
Resolved
YES
I
Resolved
YES
V
Resolved
YES
L
Resolved
YES
S
Resolved
NO
Q
Resolved
NO
C
Resolved
NO
F
Resolved
NO
G
Resolved
NO
H
Resolved
NO
J
Resolved
NO
K
Resolved
NO
M
Resolved
NO
N
Resolved
NO
O
Resolved
NO
P

Word:_ i l v e r

Incorrect guesses:3/6:

D,A,B

The banner art might not be up to date!

Background Hangman is a word guessing game where players try to guess a hidden word one letter at a time. Each incorrect guess results in drawing part of a hanging stick figure. The game is lost if the figure is completed (typically after 6 wrong guesses) before the word is solved.

Resolution Criteria

  • Every day, at ~8am UTC+2 the letter with the highest % (first in alphabetical order if there is a tie) will resolve.

  • Each letter in the alphabet (A-Z) will resolve YES if it appears in the hidden word, NO if it does not appear in the word.

  • I will reveal the hidden word and mark resolutions of the letter that didn't get resolved after the game concludes.

  • The game concludes when either:

    1. The word is successfully guessed (all letters revealed)

    2. The hangman figure is completed (6 incorrect guesses)

  • Capitalization is ignored - guessing 'a' or 'A' counts as the same letter.

  • If a letter appears multiple times in the word, guessing that letter once reveals all instances.

Considerations

  • The hidden word will be in English and contain only letters (no numbers, spaces, or special characters).

  • I obviously won't bet on this market.

The MD5 hash obtained when combining the word and an unknown string of characters that I will resolve at the end of this market is: 0a674752f3830233c5270aa1430a8f7a

Linked markets:

https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/who-will-win-at-hangman?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg

https://manifold.markets/GastonKessler/will-manifold-win-at-hangman-2?r=R2FzdG9uS2Vzc2xlcg

  • Update 2025-05-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 500 Mana prize mentioned in the title is awarded based on participation in the linked market: who-will-win-at-hangman. To be eligible for the prize, you may need to post your guess in that market.

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