🏅 Top traders

Well played everyone!

@GastonKessler fun market, thanks!

@JPD Thank you for participating!

@GastonKessler theres a 10k limit order there

@maozedong31415 I know, but thank you

At least 1 and At least 10 are self fulfilling prophechies

@100Anonymous Yes, but they also influence the other ones.

@GastonKessler That actually makes all of them self fulfilling prophecies

@100Anonymous in different ways, yes. However, the resolution date is fixed, so expect some chaos right before the end

@100Anonymous Only one half of one and 10 are self-fulfilling; a YES resolution on 1 or NO on 10. But the opposites could fail, e.g, if 10 is at 51% while 1 is at 49%

@JimHays that won't happen though as if 1 is 49, people will bet it up to 51%

@100Anonymous Maybe. Or maybe not. One of them is stable, but this resolves to a point in time, not to the mathematical equilibrium

@JimHays someone can write a script to see al pending orders, fill them and get the percentage to 51% in the last millisecond

@100Anonymous Someone could also write a script to do the opposite

@JimHays right! but it's much harder as it required more mana to bet down all other options as well.

@100Anonymous But if people are convinced one will resolve YES (and for example, bet it up to 99%) then the payoff for getting a correct NO resolution will be much bigger

@JimHays but the rational option would be to bet it up to 51%, otherwise you are encouraging no traders to correct the value