Will I receive significant evidence that Paul Christiano is not legally bound by a mutual OpenAI NDA before EOY2024
AI Regulation
Basic
11
Ṁ1.0k
2025
59%
chance

Significant evidence = first, second, or third-hand reports from people who I trust.

NDA = non-disparagement agreement, not non-disclosure agreement

Get Ṁ600 play money

Related questions

11 Comments
9 Holders
20 Trades
Sort by:

I will not bet in this market, so people don't fear I receive the info & steal their money (unless someone argues with this statement & claims it doesn't do much for investor confidence)

View original context

See also: https://manifold.markets/GarrettBaker/which-of-the-names-below-will-i-rec?r=R2FycmV0dEJha2Vy

In general, it would be good if markets didn't have "not"s in them that reverse, which is "yes" and which is "no".

@EliTyre Sorry about that! I agree, but I also forget :(

bought Ṁ30 YES

To be clear, this is specifically regarding a mutual non-disparagement agreement, right?

@AryanBhatt Correct, since OAI now claims it will no longer enforce its non-mutual NDAs.

@GarrettBaker Not saying this actually matters all that much, OAI is known to lie, but I'm economizing on market creation. You're welcome to make another about non-mutual NDAs, which I will def trade in.

@AryanBhatt Ok, I broke and made a more general market: https://manifold.markets/GarrettBaker/which-of-the-names-below-will-i-rec?r=R2FycmV0dEJha2Vy

This market is about whether he currently is, not whether he ever has been, correct?

@MrMagnolia Yes

[whoops, posting on LW's account]

I will not bet in this market, so people don't fear I receive the info & steal their money (unless someone argues with this statement & claims it doesn't do much for investor confidence)

Related in AI Regulation

See more AI Regulation questions

More related questions