Resolution criteria
This market resolves to "Yes" if I accumulate at least 2,000 mana on Manifold Markets by September 1, 2025. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." The mana balance will be verified through my Manifold Markets account dashboard.
Background
Mana is the virtual currency used on Manifold Markets for trading and creating prediction markets. Users can earn mana through correct predictions, successful trades, creating popular markets, completing quests, and referring friends. (docs.manifold.markets)
Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that donations will count towards the total mana accumulated.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ65 | |
2 | Ṁ16 | |
3 | Ṁ9 | |
4 | Ṁ2 | |
5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
@4fa I could be wrong but it looks like the act of misresolving this market caused the criteria for a Yes resolution to be triggered (which is very funny). market creator now has a 2000 mana balance
@Bayesian Could it be that the balance graph did not update properly? Or that the balance log and the balance graph don't agree? According to balance log it was resolved correctly.
@Bayesian Yeah. More importantly, according to the log he had 2000 before resolving, not just afterwards. Gonna use the log from now on. Better safe than sorry.