Will the Hollywood writer strike last more than 100 days?
Hollywood•Labor
65
360
Ṁ1.3K
resolved Aug 10
Resolved
YES

The Writers Guild of America (WGA) are starting a strike on Tuesday May 2nd, 2023, after contract negotiations broke down. The last WGA strike, in 2007, lasted 100 days. Will this strike last that long?

Resolves YES if the WGA is still on strike on August 10, 2023 (and has been striking for the entire time). Resolves NO if the WGA stops striking before then.

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The Screen Actors Guild has also gone on strike. Is this proof that the strike will last longer, or will the pressure from the SAG force the negotiations to go on?

Equivalent Futuur market: https://futuur.com/q/175499/will-the-us-screenwriters-strike-last-at-least-100-days/

predicted NO

@kenakofer is that site usually accurate with their predictions?

bought Ṁ5 of YES

@higherLEVELING they haven't often gotten tons of predictors if that's what you mean. Just another arb opportunity, with a crypto option.

@kenakofer That market seems impressively bad - probably a good way to make some money, if you can legally use it.

Why does this market close Sept 9th?

@ShitakiIntaki A mistake, it should be August 9th.

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