The Iowa Republican Caucuses are tonight. Past caucuses have sometimes taken multiple days to report final results, though they are supposed to be reported the same night. Will that occur?

To operationalize it, this resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/Joshua/what-will-the-order-of-the-top-4-fi has resolved by 9AM Central time on January 16, or if there is clear agreement that it could have been but the market creator wasn’t online. Otherwise resolves NO.