Will a major social media platform be accused of influencing the 2024 U.S. presidential election outcome?
Plus
17
Ṁ719Feb 6
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
The accusation must explicitly claim that the platform influenced the outcome of the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
The accusation must come from a credible and authoritative source, such as an official government entity, (e.g., a statement from a federal agency or a congressional committee).
The accusation must be reported and verified by at least three major national news organizations.
The question resolves 'Yes' if all the above criteria are met by February 1st 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI-generated audio misinformation play a role in the 2024 US election?
16% chance
Will 2024 see a major, viral, malicious AI-generated disinformation case, either in the US or globally?
10% chance
What will happen to Donald Trump’s social media platform, TRUTH Social, in 2024?
Will Twitter suppress a video or image related to the 2024 US election?
69% chance
Will there be an accusation of a large language model being used for disinformation during the 2024 US Presidential Election?
84% chance
Will any major news outlet discredit an election's results due to use of LLMs in 2024?
38% chance
Will there be evidence by the end of 2024 of AI having a significant impact on the outcome of any political election?
21% chance
Will the loser of the 2024 election blame AI misinformation for their defeat?
22% chance
Will AI propaganda play a significant role in the 2028 presidential election.
66% chance
Will a deepfake video cause a major political controversy involving a head of state by 2026?
61% chance