Adam Conover of "Adam Ruins Everything" is participating and making videos about the Writers Guild of America strike. He seems convinced that the WGA will be able to extract a "fair deal" from the studios before ending the strike.
Option will resolve after the strike ends and Connover releases a video or other comment describing his feelings.
Option resolves YES if Connover says something to effect of "Look at what a great deal our strike pulled!" or "I'm glad WGA and the studios could work out something fair." Option resolves NO if Connover says "Well it's not what we wanted, but it's the best we could do".
I'm using Connover's opinion as a proxy for "Will the WGA strike be successful" because I'm not knowledgable enough about Hollywood to know what would constitute a successful strike.
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This resolves yes.
@Domer Seems like he's being tight lipped. If he thinks the deal is the best they're going to get, it would make sense to withhold criticism until after the deal is agreed on.
Remember, the market doesn't resolve until the strike ends AND Connover releases a video or comment describing his feelings. So if the strike ends and Connover doesn't comment on whether he likes the deal, I'll leave the market open until he lets his hair down and tweets how he actually feels.