Will Sergio Moro complete his term as Brazilian Senator?
3
12
140
2030
48%
chance

The political trajectory of Sergio Moro, the former judge who gained international recognition for leading Operation Car Wash (Lava Jato), one of the largest corruption investigations in Brazil, has been both notable and contentious. Moro's transition from a legal figure to a political one, culminating in his election to the Brazilian Senate, marks a significant evolution in his career. This market explores the likelihood of Sergio Moro completing his term as a Brazilian Senator.

Sergio Moro's tenure in the Senate is fraught with potential challenges and uncertainties. His involvement in high-profile as judge in corruption cases, combined with his subsequent role as Justice Minister before resigning and accusing Bolsonaro of interference in police matters, has made him a polarizing figure. This market will evaluate factors such as political alliances, potential legal challenges, and the broader political climate in Brazil, which could influence Moro's ability to serve his full term.

Participants are encouraged to consider the implications of Brazil's volatile political environment, including the potential for impeachment, pressure from political opponents, or other unforeseen events that could prematurely end Moro's senatorial term. The market will also reflect on Moro's support base, his standing within his political party, and the broader public opinion, all of which could play crucial roles in his political survival.

# Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve positively if Sergio Moro completes his full term as a Senator without interruption, as scheduled by the Brazilian electoral calendar. It will resolve negatively if Moro resigns, is impeached, or by any means leaves his senatorial position before the end of his term, for any reason.

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