Will any U.S. university lose federal funding due to "illegal protests" before 2026?
16
100Ṁ6602026
70%
chance
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Background
President Trump has threatened to cut federal funding for universities that allow what he terms "illegal protests,". Federal funding is a significant revenue source for many U.S. universities, covering research grants, student financial aid, and various programs.
The definition of "illegal protests" remains ambiguous.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if:
At least one accredited U.S. university or college demonstrably loses any amount of federal funding specifically due to the university's handling of or response to protests deemed "illegal" by federal authorities.
The funding loss must occur before January 1, 2026.
The causal connection between the protests and funding loss must be stated by reputable news sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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