Background
Joseph Welch was the chief counsel for the U.S. Army during the Army-McCarthy hearings in 1954. He famously confronted Senator Joseph McCarthy with the line "Have you no sense of decency, sir, at long last?" This moment is widely considered a turning point that helped end McCarthy's influence and the Red Scare era.
Trumpism refers to the political ideology, style, and movement associated with Donald Trump and his presidency. Like McCarthyism before it, Trumpism has been a significant political force that has reshaped American politics.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on historical consensus as of 2045 regarding which individual (if any) played a role most comparable to Joseph Welch in challenging and diminishing the influence of Trumpism in American politics and culture.
The market will resolve to the option that best represents the individual who:
Made a public stand or series of actions against Trumpism
Had their actions widely recognized as a turning point in public opinion
Contributed significantly to a decline in the influence or acceptance of Trumpism
If by 2045 historians and political analysts generally agree that no single individual played a Welch-like role in confronting Trumpism (i.e., the opposition was more collective or systemic), the market will resolve to "No single individual will emerge as a clear 'Joseph Welch' figure."
Considerations
The impact of individuals may evolve significantly between now and 2045
Historical perspective often differs from contemporary assessments
The nature of political movements and their opposition changes over time
The resolution depends on how Trumpism itself evolves over the coming decades
The resolution will be based on historical consensus, which may
involve some subjectivity