When will I have my first robot haircut?
31
1kṀ10592026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
80%
Before 2050
79%
Before 2040
26%
Before 2030
As the frontier of robotics advances, the idea of robot-assisted personal care, including haircuts, is becoming increasingly plausible. This market is created to forecast when I, the initiator of this market, will experience my first haircut performed by a robot.
As an enthusiast for technological innovations and an early adopter of new services, I am keen to experience robotic haircut services as soon as they become commercially available at a price point I find accessible.
I will extend the market duration.
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How does this market resolve if you upload your consciousness to cyberspace and your virtual self gets a haircut there, like we can in GTA 5?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.