Add answers. I will choose the most specific true answer. Closes before the announcement. If nothing is launched, will be extended.
Update 2025-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Main Announcement: The resolution will be based on the product that is clearly the primary focus of Apple's announcement, specifically the one teased in their tweet.
Multiple Launches: If Apple launches more than one product, the one that receives the primary emphasis in the announcement will be considered.
Ambiguity Resolution: If it is impossible to clearly determine which announcement is the main one, the outcome may be marked as N/A.
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@JonathanMannhart Good point. I will go by whatever is the "main" announcement, the one they teased in the tweet. If that's impossible to conclusively figure out I might N/A.
@FranekZak Excuse me, wtf?
This is clearly what everybody was thinking of what the “iPhone SE“ was going to be, with all the rumors agreeing. Naming is always a bit of a challenge (you don't know beforehand what Apple calls a product. But the class of product was obvious here.)
https://www.macrumors.com/guide/iphone-se-4/
https://www.theverge.com/news/608210/iphone-se-rumors-release-date-price-specs-face-id-camera-notch
I bet on your “iPhone SE“ option knowing that it would probably be called iPhone 16E!
If you really think that it's not what you meant by iPhone SE (although I would guess that everybody betting on this market expected an iPhone SE or 16E under that option), then resolve it N/A please.
It's quite undeniable that the iPhone 16E is the next gen of the iPhone SE. All the marketing materials compare it to “the previous gen, the iPhone SE (3rd gen).
I'm okay with N/A (but that would still be kind of wrong), but not okay with “other“.
All the rumors agreed that it was one product, either called “SE“ or “16E“. But it was always going to be a 6.1“ one camera phone with notch for a low price, in Apple's long history of offering a model at a lower price point. If I wanted to bet on your market that they'd announce that, the only option I had was the one you named “iPhone SE“.
If you think the iPhone 16E isn't really an “iPhone SE“ and people expecting the 16E should not have bet on “iPhone SE“ (even though that's what the community expected under that label), then “other“ does also not fit. The 16E isn't clearly “other“ than an iPhone SE, since it fits literally all the attributes that the iPhone SE was expected to have.
“Other“ is simply a false resolution.
If “none of the options fit“, as you said, then you do N/A. Not “other“.
@JonathanMannhart I will do some thinking on this and consider a re-resolution. I thought that the size being quite a bit above the SE meant it was not that. But if the expectations of the predictors were contrary to that, it's not my intention to misresolve.
@JonathanMannhart but also, I think if none of the options fit, and it was possible for everyone to add options, resolving to Other is the correct solution. If someone added an option like "a cheaper iphone not called SE" I would resolve to that.
@FranekZak “SE” was never about it being a small phone, if Apple cared about that there would still be Minis.
The SE line was about taking an older design that could now be cheaply made with a newer processor. 16e is an iPhone 14 with a new cpu. The real question is, does this mean there will be a 17e and 18e? That would make this a real change in strategy, but we won’t know for a year.
I bet on SE. I’m honestly not sure if you resolved this correctly or not!
The SE was always a parts-bin phone, the low-end model. Not necessarily the “small“ phone (the Mini was smaller during its time). It was just the case that phones had gotten continuously bigger since the iPhone 4, so previous cases had been smaller as well. The new one is based on the iPhone 12-14, which wasn't smaller.
I think it's very fair to say that predictors would have bet on “iPhone SE“ meaning the phone that was rumoured for a long time. There are hundreds of articles on this, all calling it the SE or possibly 16 SE or 16E. Names are often something that rumors can't get perfectly right, because that can be changed last minute by Apple (while the hardware can't.) Same with pricing, that's something that Apple doesn't have to lock in months before.
I would have bet on an 16e if it were available, but I think it's fair to assume that most betters would have assumed “iPhone SE“ meant the rumoured low-end iPhone. Which is what we got.
I didn't add that as an option because I thought it was clear to everybody that “iPhone SE“ is that rumoured model, in the spirit of the question. Everybody (in the rumour reporting bubble) knew beforehand that the size would be 6.1“ and that the name might change.
It would have been pretty unfair to add all the potential other names (16E, 16e, 16 SE, SE, 15 SE, 14 SE, etc) and then people who originally bet on “iPhone SE“, thinking it would turn out to be the successor (which it did), would have lost their Mana.
The rumours (about the “SE/16e) had everything right. The 6.1“ size, the new cell modem by Apple, only one camera, the notch, the chip, USB-C, etc. The only surprise was the lack of MagSafe (and the U1 chip).
The first low-end parts-bin iPhone wasn't called “SE“ either, it was called iPhone 5c, based on the 5. That was kind of the predecessor before they made an SE out of the 5s.
Apple changes names in weird ways from time to time, i.e. iPhone X → iPhone XS → iPhone 11 Pro. But that's still the same line of phones. One would have called the iPhone 11 Pro the “new iPhone Xs“ at the time. Same with the iPhone Xr → iPhone 11 → iPhone 12, etc.
@JonathanMannhart Good point. I will go by whatever is the "main" announcement, the one they teased in the tweet. If that's impossible to conclusively figure out I might N/A.