Resolves yes if before 2035 there is a scaled process in use producing gold starting from other elements. The prompt for this question is https://www.marathonfusion.com but it does not have to be this technology.
Significant scale will be at least 2 different facilities, each producing at least 1000kg of gold in one year.
1,000People are also trading
Wrote a blog post about this! It optimistically gives this ~<10% odds of happening.
https://thebsdetector.substack.com/p/government-funded-alchemy
I don't get why there is a factor of time in their 2t/GWth/yr. Shouldn't they be producing a constant amount of gold per GW of energy, no matter how long it takes? Edit: Nvm, I'm dumb, watt is a unit of power.
Worth noting that the total gold mined in 2024 was 3.3 million kilograms
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_gold_production
@BoydKane yeah. So at the scale of this question we would not necessarily expect huge price shifts. ( But with how purely speculative the value is, it's hard to say what to expect)
@nikki the gold won't enter the market until ~7-14 years after fusion power plants become commercialized, so...