Last one that exploded on Romanian territorry did so on 13th September 2023.
This will resolve to yes it:
it explodes
it does so on Romanian teritorry or above it
it's a Russian drone
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This feels like a premature resolution. It's still suspected that the drone was Russian at this point rather than confirmed.
(I appreciate that it almost certainly was Russian. I placed NO bets on at 95% because I think there's value between 'almost certain' and 'certain')
@FlorinSays yes, people profited because you can't possibly close this kind of open-ended market before news breaks. That's almost definitionally true.
My point is that when you closed it the Romanian government hadn't made any definitive statements about whether it was Russian or not, so the market should have stayed open until they (or some other authority) did.
@FlorinSays you just have to wait until there is a definitive answer to the question. I think it's fine to close the question and wait to resolve, although if that's your plan you should put it in the description I guess.