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@Fion This should resolve to YES, because (5,751,924 + 5,757,598) / (88 + 949) ~= 11,098.9, which is greater than 10,000.

How this will be evaluated? At close time of WvM the total number of shares held by everyone will be divided by the total number of YES+NO shareholders?

@MayMeta I'm not sure if there's an easy way to see total number of shares. My current plan is a rather tedious exercise of copying and pasting into a spreadsheet and then doing a big average.

But yes, it'll be as you say.

@Fion In this case we're firmly above 10k for quite some time now.

@MayMeta ooh, that's really nice to see the graphs, thanks for doing that!

I originally created this market as a hedge, betting Yes here and betting No on both WvM and MvW. I was never expecting this one to be YES but knew that if it wasn't I'd win one of the others. I was always surprised the probability stayed so high...