I've been spending too much time on Manifold, with 5 days last week being over 90 minutes (3 days the week before, 5 days the week before that). From today, I've set myself a target of no more than 90 minutes per day. Will I stick to that target every day this week (the first week I'm trying it)?
Time spent on my computer doesn't count, but historically that's been a small minority of my Manifold time - it's the phone that's really addictive. I'm going to try not to cheat the target by spending more time on Manifold on my computer, but if I do cheat it in such a way, this market will still resolve YES, as long as the phone time is less than 90 minutes.
Resolves according to my phone's screentime measurement functionality. I've set it so that there's a trivial inconvenience to spend longer than 90 minutes each day.
I will not bet NO in this market as it would be trivial for me to force a NO resolution. I will bet YES, in order to provide an incentive for myself. Depending on how I feel I may bet quite a lot of YES, even above my credence in a positive outcome, to increase my incentives further.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ80 | |
| 2 | Ṁ9 | |
| 3 | Ṁ2 |
@Fion also I want to say thanks to those who bet NO and helped give me an incentive. I'm not sure if you were betting in rational self interest or in order to help me but I appreciate it either way. :)