For the past three months, my average profits on my profit graph have been around 3,800M per month. In theory, this should increase over time as I have more mana to spend. However, I have set myself a target of spending less time on Manifold on my phone. If I spend less time, will I make less profit?
For the purposes of this market, "less profit" is defined as 3,500M or less, and "less time on my phone" is defined as less than 90 minutes per day on >90% of days in July. (In the past three weeks I've been over 90 minutes on 13/21 days.)
Resolves N/A if I spend more time on my phone than defined above.
I'm using 12,696M as the starting point for my profit for the month. After the 1st of August, I'll see what my profit is by hovering over my graph. Resolves YES if the number is smaller than 16,196M and NO if it's greater than or equal to 16,196M.
Time spent on Manifold on my computer is not counted, but this is a small minority of my Manifold time.
I'll resolve this market at a random time between midnight 1st August and midnight 3rd August to discourage manipulation.
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| # | Trader | Total profit |
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I spent less than 90 minutes on Manifold on my phone in 100% of the days in July. Yay, market doesn't resolve NA.
The random time at which I'm measuring my profits is now. Profits are 16,517M. This is greater than 16,196M, so market resolves NO. It was pretty close. There have been a few times in the eligible closing window where profits were below the cutoff, but for the majority of the time they were over, and the average was over. (Just judging by eye since resolution doesn't depend on it, so I don't have an exact number.)