Will the Houthis still control Sana'a by the end of 2024?
Plus
18
Ṁ11kJan 1
98.7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Pretty self explanatory. Sana'a is the capital of Yemen and was captured by the Houthi movement in 2014.
I will resolve "No" if Sana'a is divided between armies waging a battle or in some kind of ceasefire, but if there's fighting on the city's outskirts/surrounding territory but not its urban core I will resolve "Yes." If they lose it and then take it back during the period I will resolve "Yes," so no matter what don't expect a resolution until the end of the year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Houthis successfully attack a U.S. or allied warship in 2024?
25% chance
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
82% chance
Will the Houthis stop attacking ships in 2024?
23% chance
Will the U.S. assassinate a Houthi leader in 2024?
31% chance
Will the Houthis sink a third ship before 2025?
28% chance
Will Hamas hold territory in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2024?
70% chance
Will the Houthi Rebels successfully seize another cargo ship in an act of piracy before the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict extend to Yemen in 2024 ?
9% chance
Will Hamas control more than one square kilometer of contiguous territory in Gaza at the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
14% chance