Will "Palworld" have at least 2 million active players in six months?
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Jul 1
2%
chance

Palworld is a new videogame that became very popular overnight, but is it just a fad? One way to measure that is if the playerbase decreases

Right now it has roughly two million active players on Steam, if in six months it has 2 million or less active players (as reported by Steam), it will be considered a fad

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active players and concurrent players are not the same thing, which one do you mean?

how are you defining active players? i only saw 2M as the peak

@strutheo 2M was the peak of concurrent players at one time, but it has dropped back down to 1M. it is highly unlikely for a game to spike back up to its launch numbers. i guess it could be possible if there is a big update in 6 months, but then the question should probably be: "Will Palworld reach a new all time high for concurrent steam players within 6 months"

if you wanted to do a question about the size of the active user base in 6 months you could ask "will pal world still average at least X users daily on steam in 6 months" and then use the 30 day average

good source for data - https://steamcharts.com/

predicts YES

@strutheo This is what I intended this to mean, but you expressed it better

@FernandoFrancoFelix you could make another one with that wording if you like. this one is likely to stay at 1% for a long time

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