Will Claude 3.5 Haiku be better than Claude 3 Opus?
31
100Ṁ4735resolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve it according to the most recent benchmark results from livebench.ai as soon as the results are available.
In the current benchmark Claude 3 Opus has a score of 50,03 on the 'Global average', while Claude 3.5 Sonnet scores 59,80.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,728 | |
| 2 | Ṁ62 | |
| 3 | Ṁ60 | |
| 4 | Ṁ54 | |
| 5 | Ṁ52 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Claude 3.5 Opus be available via API by end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Claude 3.5 Opus have a higher Chat Arena Elo than GPT-5?
6% chance
Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?
9% chance
Will an open-source LLM under 10B parameters surpass Claude 3.5 Haiku by EOY 2025?
99% chance
Will Claude MCP have equivalent functionality to a Claude Computer Use module by EOY2025?
57% chance
Does Claude 3.5 have control vector(s) to increase its capabilities?
33% chance
Anthropic releases Claude 4.0+ Sonnet
9/27/25
Claude Opus 4.x Release Date
10/14/25