Will there be a violent incident around the new Gaza port in 2024?
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Plus
30
Ṁ7495
resolved Dec 6
Resolved
NO

Biden has been saying the US will build a port in Gaza. However, distribution on land will be an issue, with many hungry people looking for food. Will there be a large scale violent incident around the Gaza port in 2024?

Could be a stampede, could be soldiers or Gazans opening fire on one another. Size of the incident more than 5 casualties.
The 'Al-Rashid humanitarian aid incident' would more than count, the one that happened 29th of Feb.

The incident has to be around the new port in Gaza, it can't be through distributing the food somewhere far away in Gaza. It can be both an incident from people just trying to get food and some mass hysteria, or because of a Hamas or other organisation attacking around the port.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will resolve NO since there were no reported violent incidents before the port stopped being used.

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2024 still is not over closing this a whole month ahead is kind of odd.

@noney True, but there isn't actually a pier anymore since July 17th and I wanted to give people back their mana back for that end of the year crunch.

@Fedor fair enough. 😉

bought Ṁ200 NO

@MarkFrost well that is a shitty end to it. But that does seem to mean no major violent incidents happened around it.

@Fedor As there were still no reported violent incidents before it stopped being used, resolving this no.

You should define how much violence is major. How many people need to be hurt or killed?

@Riley12 Added some more details on what would qualify. Deciding for this market around 5+ deaths.
The Al-Rashid humanitarian aid incident had 118 for comparison.

@Fedor I would rephrase the market to the more neutral 'Will there be a violent incident.' Unfortunately, five is minor in the context of an invasion. The Al-Ahli Arab incident had between 200-500 killed.

@GazDownright I agree wholeheartedly, there is the possibility of a much bigger violent incident, will rename this market. I hope the US tries strongly to prevent this.

To distinguish them, I've made a separate market

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