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MANIFOLD
Idaho Senate margin of victory
13
Ṁ400Ṁ5.5k
2027
96%
Risch, 13+ pts
96%
Risch, 3+ pts
96%
Risch, 5+ pts
95%
Risch, 7+ pts
93%
Risch, 19+ pts
93%
Risch, 17+ pts
93%
Risch, 11+ pts
91%
Risch, 9+ pts
91%
Risch, 15+ pts
75%
Risch, 21+ pts
45%
Risch, 23+ pts
14%
Risch, 25+ pts
7%
Risch, 29+ pts
5%
Risch, 35+ pts
4%
Risch, 27+ pts

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-idsenr

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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