Idaho Senate margin of victory
1
Ṁ400Ṁ1522027
50%
Risch, 13+ pts
49%
Risch, 15+ pts
50%
Risch, 11+ pts
40%
Risch, 17+ pts
32%
Risch, 19+ pts
50%
Risch, 9+ pts
23%
Risch, 23+ pts
50%
Risch, 35+ pts
50%
Risch, 7+ pts
23%
Risch, 21+ pts
23%
Risch, 25+ pts
19%
Risch, 27+ pts
50%
Risch, 5+ pts
50%
Risch, 3+ pts
11%
Risch, 29+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-idsenr
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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