How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Question

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspacexcount/spacex-launches/kxspacexcount-26oct

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If SpaceX has more than X launches in Oct 2026, then the answer resolves to Yes.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Above 8, followed by Above 9 and Above 10 are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Oct 3, 2026).

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