Will the US CPI year-over-year rate for March 2026 be 3.0% or higher?

Question

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 2026 on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This key inflation measure is closely watched by markets and the Federal Reserve.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 99% chance (11 traders, as of Apr 10, 2026).

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