Will Carles Puigdemont be in Spain at any time before 2025?
Plus
16
Ṁ9436Jan 1
98.3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if Carles Puigdemont is alive and present in Spanish territory at any time before 1st January 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?
27% chance
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be president of Spain's Partido Popular on 2024?
5% chance
Will Iñigo Errejón spend a night in jail by the end of 2025?
52% chance
Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?
46% chance
Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
53% chance
Will there be a blanket amnesty granted to Catalan separatists by July 2024?
75% chance
[Metaculus] Will Spain announce a snap general election before January 2025?
5% chance
Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?
25% chance
Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?
97% chance
Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?
15% chance