Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Central African Republic?
Plus
39
Ṁ5350Jan 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?
The CAR has a long history of political instability and civil conflict. The current government is considered weak and illegitimate by many citizens, creating fertile ground for coup plotters. BMI analysts think South Sudan is the most likely country in Africa to experience a coup, followed by the Central African Republic, according to the Economist.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a successful coup in Africa in 2024?
29% chance
Will there be a coup in Africa during 2024?
29% chance
Will the government of the Central African Republic be overthrown before the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Congo?
10% chance
Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of South Sudan?
6% chance
Will there be a successful coup in Russia by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Will there be a coup attempt in Ukraine in 2024?
12% chance
How many successful coups will occur in africa in 2024
Will there be a successful coup in Russia by the end of 2024?
10% chance