Will there be a serious coup attempt against Alexander Lukashenko in 2024?
30
1kṀ5531Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Belarusian exiles plot coup against Lukashenko – POLITICO
I won't bet, resolves according to my judgment, but I will be relatively lenient. The Wagner mutiny definitely would've been a serious attempt, for example.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a coup attempt in Russia before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will there be a coup attempt in Russia by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
96% chance
Will Lukashenko die in a plane crash?
13% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
78% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko make at least 5 homophobic statements during 2024?
52% chance
Who will be the next President of Belarus, after Lukashenko?
Will Vladimir Putin and Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within one year of each other?
65% chance