Will the reconstruction of Notre-Dame Cathedral be completed before the 2024 Olympics in Paris?
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Jul 26
4%
chance

Resolves YES if the bulk of planned reconstruction works have been completed by July 26-2024, according to Wikipedia.

More specifically, It'll only resolve YES if:

  • The cathedral has reopened for mass and to tourist visits.

  • At minimum the wooden roof structure, the vaults and the spire have been rebuilt.

  • There haven't been any major delays announced relative to the current plans.

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@FRCassarino How does this resolve if the cathedral is open to the public in some areas but still under construction in others? Does it need to be completely finished or just accessible?

> “We’re all quite confident that 2024 will be the year of completing a large part of this reconstruction site and the reopening of the cathedral to worshippers and the public, although there’ll be more work to do after 2024, of course,” the culture minister, wearing a white construction helmet, told a journalist from French daily Le Figaro

I'll update the description with these criteria:

It'll only resolve YES if:

  • The cathedral has reopened for mass and to tourist visits.

  • At minimum the wooden roof structure, the vaults and the spire have been rebuilt.

  • There haven't been any major delays announced compared to the track record.

@FRCassarino *relative to the current plans